Weekend Review – Volatility Indexes and ETPs – 8/21/2016

For the second week in a row the S&P 500 Index related volatility indexes hardly budged. Three out of four were lower with the longest dated, VXMT, up slightly on the week.

VXST VIX VXV VXMT

 

We’ve ranted and raved in various forums about how VVIX has been holding up despite a lower VIX. It was kind of like the last holdout for higher equity market related volatility until this past week when it took a 12% dive.  This puts VVIX closer to the lower end of the historical range. I guess we will now focus on SKEW which is the sole index that remains relatively high.

VXX Table

 

 

Since the equity market bottomed in February both VXX and UVXY have given back all the early 2016 gains and then some. As long as contango prevails in the VIX futures term structure and VIX remains low we will probably continue to see SVXY widen the 2016 lead on the long funds.

VXX SVXY UVXY

 

I’ve started looking beyond broad based equity market volatility in this space.  This week the biggest moves to the upside came from the currency focused volatility indexes. If something is getting ready to upset the financial markets maybe it is macro in nature and the heightened risk is showing up in $BPVIX, $JYVIX, and $EUVIX.

Volatility Indexes

 

Finally, on Friday the CBOE Options Institute held the first of a series of focus classes. We spent the day covering all things VIX and Volatility with a great group of students. I actually like these sorts of classes because I always seem to come away with new things to work on based on student questions or comments.

One student noted that he likes to buy SVXY on any pull back of about 20% and this prompted another student to ask if he’d ever considered selling out of the money puts on SVXY. We fired up LiveVol Pro and took a look at the skew of SVXY options. A condensed version of that chart appears below showing the skew for SVYX options expiring on September 16th.

SVXY Skew

 

SVXY finished the week at 73.44 and we kicked around different 60 strike SVXY puts. The skew chart above shows the IV for September 16th SVXY 60 Puts is around 80%. With volatility like that priced into options we looked at the bid side for all the 60 strike puts expiring in September. With Weeklys there are actually five alternatives to consider.

SVXY 60 Put Bids

 

The premiums ranged from 0.35 for the September 2nd puts to 2.05 for the September 30th contracts. Of course this is the equivalent of being short volatility since a volatility spike can take 20% out of SVXY in just a day, but if a trader would be a willing buyer of SVXY on a dip to 60.00 the opportunity to get paid to do so exists since the IV is so high for out of the money puts on this ETF.

Weekend Review – VIX Futures and Options – 8/21/2016

VIX dropped a little as the equity market did a whole lot of nothing last week.  We retired the August contract on the open Wednesday morning and September took over as the front month.  With time to go to expiration (this is actually a five-week cycle) everyone seemed to notice the steep contango again.  What […]

The VIX is Low, But Should You Fasten Your Seatbelt?

VIX has spent the whole of August below 14, and remains – at time of writing – close to its lowest levels in two years.  But the present calm may be dependent on a short-term seasonal effect; and we are approaching the traditional period where it ends. August is traditionally a quiet month for U.S. […]

Focus on VIX Class to be Hosted at CBOE Options Institute

The CBOE Options Institute is hosting the first in a series of classes that will focus on different aspects of option and volatility trading. The first class, appropriately named Focus on VIX and Volatility Products, will be held on Friday August 19th at CBOE. For those unable to make it to Chicago the class is […]

Weekend Review – Volatility Indexes and ETPs – 7/24/2016

VIX was the biggest mover among the four S&P 500 related volatility indexes this past week.  VIX dropped more than 5% while VXST lost 0.39% and VXV was down 1.19%.  Longer dated volatility actually rose last week with VXMT gaining 0.28%.  The curve remains very steep which I’m taking as uncertainty abounding with respect to […]

Weekend Review – VIX Futures and Options – 7/24/2016

Last week VIX broke the 12 level, which surprised some market participants who felt 2016 was going to be a roller coaster ride that kept VIX at elevated levels.  I have already spent time on the Wall of Shame as I count as someone who felt VIX was spend more time around 20 than it […]

Weekend Review – VIX Futures and Options – 7/17/2016

With VIX testing 2016 lows this past week the soon to be retired July future headed lower at a slightly faster rate than VIX dropping 6.43% versus 4.02%.  Even with the bigger loss on the week the July contract finished the week at more than a one premium to VIX.  We will see on Wednesday […]

Weekend Review – Volatility Indexes and ETPs – 7/17/2016

Short term volatility was the big loser among the four S&P 500 related volatility indexes as VXST lost over 10% last week.  This was more than two times the drop in VIX and more than three times the drop in VXV and VXMT.  The result is a pretty darn steep curve indicating concerns about the […]

New SPX Monday-Expiring Weeklys Options To Launch Next Month

CBOE recently announced that it plans to list S&P 500® Index (SPX) Monday-expiring WeeklysSM options, beginning August 15, pending regulatory approval.  With the expected introduction of SPX “Monday Weeklys,” CBOE will offer SPX options with Monday, Wednesday and Friday expirations. SPX Weeklys are one of CBOE’s fastest-growing products, with volume in 2015 setting a 10th […]

What is Volatility Saying about the Price of Gold?

I’ve kept my eye off gold this year and boy have I missed a ride. The GLD ETF is up about 28% in 2016 which leaves most markets in the dust. Apparently #Gold is a trending topic today on Twitter as well. S0 even though the shiny metal is higher, is there any opportunity being anticipated for […]

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